预测市场Trepa和Fireplace关闭，Kalshi和Polymarket占据93%行业交易量

摘要 11 8月 2026 · 18:10 UTC · 1 个来源

1 independent sourcepublished 11 8月 2026 · 18:10 UTC

预测市场Trepa和Fireplace在数小时内相继宣布关闭，设定9月30日为用户提取资金的期限。Kalshi和Polymarket控制了93%的预测市场交易量。其中一个关闭的平台发布了分析报告，指出加密行业公布的活跃用户基数明显高估了实际参与度。

来源： The Defiant

本文仅供参考，不构成财务建议。

市场作何反应

价格反应未记录

独立来源未记录

每小时报道数未记录

新颖度未记录

每个数字都是本站自己的读数，并附上其比较基准。空白表示无人取得该读数，而非零。标题之前的时间窗会显示随机一小时跨过同一门槛的比例，因为没有零假设的命中率不构成结论。

标签： PredictionMarkets, Polymarket, Kalshi

Canonical IDBYTE-2026-08-11-0005permanent link

Cite this

Link

https://bytenews.io/zh/s/prediction-market-trepa-and-fireplace-shut-down-as-kalshi-and-polymarket-capture/
BYTE-2026-08-11-0005

News citation

BYTE NEWS. "预测市场Trepa和Fireplace关闭，Kalshi和Polymarket占据93%行业交易量." 2026-08-11. https://bytenews.io/zh/s/prediction-market-trepa-and-fireplace-shut-down-as-kalshi-and-polymarket-capture/ (BYTE-2026-08-11-0005).

APA

BYTE NEWS. (2026, 08, 11). 预测市场Trepa和Fireplace关闭，Kalshi和Polymarket占据93%行业交易量. Retrieved from https://bytenews.io/zh/s/prediction-market-trepa-and-fireplace-shut-down-as-kalshi-and-polymarket-capture/

BibTeX

@misc{byte202608110005,
  title  = {预测市场Trepa和Fireplace关闭，Kalshi和Polymarket占据93%行业交易量},
  author = {{BYTE NEWS}},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {BYTE-2026-08-11-0005},
  url    = {https://bytenews.io/zh/s/prediction-market-trepa-and-fireplace-shut-down-as-kalshi-and-polymarket-capture/}
}

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